It's possible a new coaching staff eventually expands Walker's usage. Howell was drafted by the Commanders in the fifth . Ja'Marr Chase joined some very elite company in my model post-draft. 2023 Rookie Rankings; Dynasty Top 250 Rankings; Dynasty QB Rankings; . I spent most of my career as Editor-In-Chief at numberFire and FanDuel, but I went out on my own back in January with the launch . NFL Draft Futures Betting: Who Will Be the First Defensive Player Drafted? On this episode, he looks at players you might want to trade away. Jets RB Breece Hall. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. I think that cutoff is after Wan'Dale Robinson and Jalen Tolbert, but that is partly why I'm below ADP on John Metchie and Alec Pierce. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 5Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 2. And he looks somewhat vulnerable if forced to share a backfield with an explosive receiving back in the mold ofAustin EkelerorTony Pollard. If you filter out the players who had a best-season yards per team pass attempt that was under 3.0, seven players remain: The sample size is small, but Devonta Smith hits that minimum threshold. He had one of the best scores of any prospect in my model before last week's event, and he's now a 96th percentile prospect in my model. Cookie Notice Why cant I get anything close to startup value for Justin Fields? That was used against Brown at the time, but things hit with Ryan Tannehill. Tolbert solidified his standing in 2022 dynasty rookie rankings at the NFL Combine with 10 hands, a 76 3/8 wingspan, 4.49 40-yard dash, and 36 vertical jump. He had a strong Freshman season at Alabama where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Dynasty, Rookie & Superflex ADP So not a whole lot has changed for me with Wilson post-draft. During his breakout Freshman campaign, 91% of his snaps came from the slot according to Pro Football Focus. Created Jul 30, 2012. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, Meyer called Etienne his "third-down back", he's noted that he plays smaller than that, John Harbaugh knows this and has talked about this, 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses, with the Patriots likely to decline his fifth-year option, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. Preseason. The story for Powell is about situation. We pick out four running backs worth thinking about in your dynasty leagues. But at 214 pounds, White is unlikely to be a workhorse at any point in his career. Trey Lance is a big mover post-draft after being selected by Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers. Still, it's nice if a guy doesn't have to be a superstar to produce right away. You also gain access to the best dynasty fantasy football resources in the industry. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. Share on Twitter. Let's talk to JJ Zachariason about Fantasy Football. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas, Once the Alabama wide receivers are off your rookie draft board, you're faced with a real dilemma. According to Dynasty League Football, Darnell Mooney's trade value is less than the Superflex/TE-premium 2.08. A lot of that is easy to explain, to be fair. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 26Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 8. /r/fantasyfootball - Good For Your Season, Press J to jump to the feed. He ran a sub-4.4 40 time at his Pro Day. If you're an avid listener over the last couple of years, you're not going to find a ton of new information. Critical data provided by research and analysis ca pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com. Moore landed with the Jets, and some may view that as a bad spot to go. Matt Kelley, aka The Podfather, hosts RotoUnderworld's flagship program delivering in-depth fantasy analysis supported by advanced metrics, insider real talk, and cheeky shenanigans. or save 10% if you pay annually. Mock Draft Trainer. Lawrence enters the league with three years of starting experience and an adjusted yards per attempt rate that got better with each season after being a top recruit in the country as he exited high school. Sleepers, as Ive told you before, dont exist and suck when they are drafted higher. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 19Tier: 11. Similar to Powell, Dez Fitzpatrick doesn't really pop in my prospect model. Kadarius Toney falls into that group, too. There've only been six players in the model -- which dates back to 2006 -- with that high of a prospect score: Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, and Calvin Johnson. This is my approach to most trades. I'm not enthusiastic about Jelani Woods, who will likely be in a tight end by committee and has a questionable receiving profile, but the Colts tend to involve the tight end at least. I'm don't think it's all that bad. That has to count for something. What happens if two fantasy football analysts roll up their sleeves and stir up a fight about some of their rankings differences? Get it here! Ive found some noticeable trends that are actionable or at least a decent guide to expectation. Isaiah Spiller immediately becomes one of fantasy's most exciting handcuffs. Tools. Top-10 Rookie WR Rankings with JJ Zachariason. If, So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. Dynasty Fantasy Football Mailbag: Best Dynasty Landing Spot for Bijan Robinson? A University of Pittsburgh graduate and diehard Pittsburgh sports fan, JJ now finds himself living just blocks away from Cincinnati Bengals' Paul Brown Stadium. Other Day 3 names are also intriguing. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. There's just a lot of ambiguity surrounding his situation right now. You can support pahowdy belowif you, like: Youtube: youtube.com/c/PeterHowardPahowdy. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that those players produce, host JJ Zachariason provides a process to help you find breakout candidates . Unsurprisingly, the Jets took Zach Wilson with the second overall pick in last week's draft. 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Targets, Avoids, Strategies with JJ Zachariason. Insiders will have access to everything Explorers get, but they also will have access to Q&A livestreams with JJ (at least once a month out of season and twice a week during), rest-of-season rankings and tiers (updated weekly in-season), and rankings and tiers for the upcoming week of games. Jahan Dotson can hit his ceiling, and I think I'll be just fine with my fade call. May 3, 2022, 9:13 pm ET. And that's why it wouldn't bother me at all if you opt to go with Chase over Harris at the 1.01 spot in single-quarterback rookie drafts. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. I'm just not sure we can categorize Pitts as some typical rookie tight end. 2. 3. On one of the best football teams in the country, Etienne posted the third-best reception share in this running back class while providing the sixth-best total yards per team play. Share on Facebook Share on Twitter His 1,143 rushing yards last season ranked second all-time for a quarterback in a season, and his eight rushing touchdowns tied for 16th all-time. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast is a fantasy football show that helps you win through bite-sized, analytically-driven episodes. Aaron Rodgers FINALLY Done in Green Bay? Jalen Hurts has two seasons within the top 25 as well, and hes finished as the QB6 and QB1. Because of this journey, Waddle's prospect profile is pretty volatile. For better context of how high Dotson and Watsons TD/Target rate was last year, Davante Adams (who led the league with 14 touchdowns) scored on a 7.8% rate and Travis Kelce (second in the league with 12 touchdowns) scored on 7.9% of his targets. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. That has to count for something. It's hard to remember an NFL Draft that did so little to help the fantasy football world. We are looking to add some new contributors to our talented team. Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides https://p You'll get the best projections in the business! Over the last two seasons with Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens have thrown the ball 846 times. In the image at the bottom of this article I have a versus ADP column that compares my overall ranks to this ADP. He was my pre-draft WR2 for a reason. 2009-2019 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. When you get to this point in your rookie draft -- especially this year's rookie draft -- you're looking for some sort of story you can tell about a player that shows that he has upside. The main reason I'm high on Marshall -- and likely higher than the consensus -- is because he's one of the only earlier-round wide receivers who checks nearly every alpha wide receiver box. In my model, every player has what's called a "stat score" -- it's a score derived from the three main production metrics. In fact, his adjusted yards per attempt against top-50 defenses last season was second-best in this draft class. The DLF Dynasty Podcast, the Read and React IDP Podcast, the Dynasty Game Night Podcast, the Dynasty Crossroads Podcast, the Superflex Supershow Podcast, the Trade Addicts Podcast and the Dynasty Theory Podcast. The problem I have with this logic is that we can't assume Lamar Jackson makes the historic passing efficiency leap that Josh Allen made, and we can't assume Rashod Bateman is as impactful of a player as Stefon Diggs is, even if we love Bateman. On a team where he can find the field quickly in three-wide receiver sets, he's a solid second-round rookie pick this year. First, the draft capital was there. For Whom The Tolls. Smith was a top-10 pick, and even though we've seen top-10 busts in the past, a lot of them were objectively avoidable. Normally against spending money on anything fantasy football related like this since its mostly luck anyway. JJ wrote the book The Late-Round Quarterback and he hosts The Late-Round Podcast . Customers can subscribe to NBC Sports EDGE+ monthly for $9.99. Things really start to get ugly after Trey Sermon. The App is Back! Is Drake London undervalued in dynasty leagues right now? The size is there to be a beast for whoever's under center for Pittsburgh, too, given he's 6'5'' and 251 pounds. This is the Dynasty Market Movers Report 3! You know that whole "first-round wide receivers with a negative stat score have consistently busted in my model" thing that I talked about with Jaylen Waddle? It was good to see Nico Collins get Day 2 draft capital, and I think it was deserved. He's a do-it-all back. That pairs nicely with Kyler Murray, who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 1Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 1. He's immediately the number-three option behind Calvin Ridley and an aging Julio Jones, and considering the holes across the defense, the Falcons should be a pretty pass-heavy team in the short term. More so than any other position, running backs make up the far majority of any season's league-winners.And, typically, you're going to have to pay up to acquire them. Sure, that landed me Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, but I also drafted Justin Herbert. Chad is a member of the Fantasy Sports . If you enjoy discovering fantasy football trends on your own, this may be the tier for you. So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. Or, at least, there could be competition. You have to have an open mind when analyzing fantasy football. could be gone, opening things up for Freiermuth to be the team's primary tight end and target in the middle of the field. JJ explain. , who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. 1 option. Get . For his career, Adams TD/Target rate is 7.3. pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com. That being said, it is helpful to have everything in one place to access at your fingertips, and everything in the book makes sense to include. , and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. But during that final campaign, in games active, Stevenson compiled an impressive 15% reception share and 22% total touchdown share. It's not an NFT it's a freaking fantasy football guide. Im huge on historical precedent and most of the names who have previously scored at least 10.5 PPG in their rookie season (since 2018) are pretty impressive, with the exception of Laviska Shenault, Preston Williams, and Chase Claypool. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 10. My main concern is that Moore is a smaller pass-catcher who was locked into the slot in college, playing just 67 total snaps from out wide over his final two (injury-filled) collegiate seasons. Injury Guide. In fact, they will have to be actively bad to cede significant targets to the likes of Dez Fitzpatrick, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Auden Tate. Here's the thing. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 9. As is my model. JJ Zachariason. JJ Zachariason-- editor-in-chief at FanDuel and numberFire and host of The Late-Round Podcast-- joins us to talk Stefon Diggs, Keenan Allen and, of course, QBs. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 18Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Post-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 6. Built Bar Built Bar is a protein bar that tastes like a candy bar. The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to Ty Montgomery in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. The draft just unfolded in a way where there aren't many wide receivers in this range to get excited about, and Carter dropped to a spot with a clear path to relevancy. Fields' average opponent rank was 24.6, which ranks as the toughest that we've seen from any quarterback that's been drafted since 2010. The Anthony Schwartz pick by Cleveland seemed to be one that was a better real football move than fantasy one. We know how Sam Darnold's 2022 is going to go. The concept of the 'Running Back Deadzone' is one that has become a well known and accepted principle over the past couple of seasons. I'm lower than consensus, but I recommend getting some exposure. And so much more! creating Fantasy football rankings, tiers, Q&As, and more. Cole Kmet was the Bears leading target-getter with 69 last year, followed by Darnell Mooneys 61, Dante Pettis with 41, and Equanimeous St. Brown wasnt far behind with 38 targets. 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