Most of Rafaelas underlying contact and power data is middling, and his peak exit velos arent what youd typically expect from a 20-homer threat, except he does seem to hit the ball fairly hard and in the air very frequently relative to his peak exits. Previous ranking: No. Romo has a plus glove and plus-plus arm but likely wont make a huge offensive impact. By virtue of this precision, he might have peak years with 20 homers or so, very similar to Brantley. A bat-only prospect with a well-rounded offensive skill set, Steer may end up a 30-grade second base defender or just play 3B/1B/LF. Speaking of the Seminoles, the Link Jarrett effect is already real in Tallahassee, as the Seminoles vaulted from unranked last week to No. There is some analytical fire to back up the smoke the scouts are smelling. Though he doesnt throw the pitch a ton, his changeup feel is also very good and currently more consistent than his feel for his new slider, though we expect that will come. SportsLine's model has generated complete Fantasy baseball rankings to help . 2021 SEASON:Mississippi State takes down Vanderbilt to win program's first title| Full CWS bracket |Top 2021 MLB draft prospects The 55 FV pitchers and above tend to have some combination of monster stuff and good command, whereas the 50 FV pitchers often have one or the other. He debuted with Boston late in the season and flashed the titanic power that promises to make him a valuable big league regular, while also running the high walk and strikeout rates that readers should expect from him going forward. Now, after what might be a delayed start to his 2023, hell be asked to hit the ground running after only playing half of last year. 1 team loses in college baseball, as Iowa dominates top-ranked LSU, Trio of heavy-hitters down three top-10 teams Friday night in college baseball, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. He looked the part last week against Bucknell, going 6.1 innings, striking out nine, and allowing just one run. 19Oklahoma StateBig 124OK1-1172119 Wood was a divisive amateur prospect, with some scouts seeing him as a center fielder with 70 raw power projection and others seeing him as an eventual first baseman with hit tool risk. Naylors defense is still pretty rough around the edges. You can see the power and athleticism in Davis lower half throughout other aspects of his game, and its an indication that he has the ability to polish this stuff up and control the running game. Hes a plus rotational athlete, his hands are exceptionally strong, he can drive his top hand through contact to punish pitches at the top of the zone and he sometimes alters his footwork and the bend in his lower half to dip down and barrel low pitches. Others that made big jumps into the Top 100 include Central Michigan (No. Hes set up to throw about 135 innings in 2023 (assuming a typical 20-inning increase) and, if his annual pattern of promotion is any indication, hell be given his first big league opportunity late this year (and push for a playoff roster spot), then compete for an Opening Day rotation job in 2024. FILED UNDER Alabama, Arkansas, East Carolina, Florida, Florida State, Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Miami, NC State, North Carolina, Oklahoma State, Ole Miss, Oregon, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Stanford, TCU, Tennessee, Texas Tech, UCLA, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, This category can only be viewed by members. As a disclaimer, we don't know a whole lot about these teams yet, and with small sample sizes, movement based on losses isn't too drastic. As is customary for pitching prospects near the tippity top of prospect lists, Rodriguez got hurt in 2022, suffering a Grade 2 lat strain in early June. While some of those skills are still bricks in Carrolls baseball-playing foundation, he has developed much more power than even the most optimistic amateur projections. Julien has perhaps the best plate discipline in the minors and can bang em when he actually swings. Catcher Calvin Harris went 4-for-5 with two home runs and drove in eight runs in the series finale. De La Cruz is a boom-or-bust prospect who could really bust or go supernova. In its final tuneup before conference play begins, Florida State this week takes on South Florida and FGCU. Having made noticeable adjustments to his swing, including a lower load and a more compact back elbow, the center fielder has proven capable of tapping into in-game power previously missing from his offensive profile. 4 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 6-1, 0-0 in ACC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 22: Xavier: W 12-8 Feb. 24-26: Bowling Green State: W 2-1, L 9-6, W 14-1 Upcoming Feb. 28: Eastern Kentucky Shriners Hospitals For Children College Classic (Houston) March: 3: vs. (12) Texas A&M March 4: vs. (11) Texas Christian March 5: vs. Michigan Louisville was tested this week, needing to score late in their first two wins against Xavier and Bowling Green. RHP Janzen Keisel The BYU transfer had a loud fall for the Cowboys, leading many to believe that he will be dominant this year. He makes up for mediocre twitch and range with outstanding instincts, elegant body control, lightning-fast hands and actions, and a plus arm. Simply put, hes one of the most unique offensive threats in the sport. 85CaliforniaPac-128CA9-29567046 Of the teams that were already in the Top 100 in 2019, Tennessee made the biggest jump, catapulting 52 spots from No. Its fair to consider there to be subjective and persistent relief risk here related to Flores delivery and the length of his arm action. Weekend Record reflects a teams weekend results as a collective unit in an effort to incorporate tournament results and not just reflect a teams record in weekend series. He started the season at High-A, advancing to Double-A in late May, where his strikeout rate increased slightly, but not at all to a concerning degree. Alabama, Georgia, Indiana have four teams apiece on the list. Wiemer often swings inside pitches on the outer third of the strike zone, and his in-zone swing and miss rates are on par with the bottom handful of big league outfielders who saw at least 300 PA in 2022, among names like Joey Gallo and Christopher Morel. Hes a little bit upright in the box but has a well-timed, toe-tap stride and great-looking swing that has typically been on time despite a little bat wrap and hitch in his hands. Preseason All-American righthander/outfielder Nolan McLean earned the save in both no-hitters. 84IllinoisBig Ten7IL1-34506636 His right-handed swing is pretty grooved, but still powerful, while his lefty swing is more skillful and dynamic, giving him a potent contact/power blend. 55Central MichiganMAC1MI2N/ANRNRNR While his ball/strike recognition isnt good, Tovar is otherwise an advanced hitter. The Red Sox have said that theyll manage his workload by DHing him and letting their righty-hitting corner bats caddy for him against some lefty starters. Hassell was playing like his usual sweet-swinging self until he was traded to Washington as part of the Juan Soto blockbuster; after the deal, his performance took a nosedive. 35GeorgiaSEC11GA1-6298670 The current favorite to be selected first overall in the 2023 draft, Crews is coming off of hitting .362/.453/.663 with 18 home runs as a first-year player last season. Even as a pure reliever at this point, Hall still belongs on a Top 100 list due to his proximity and the likelihood that he becomes a lights out lefty closer or multi-inning buzzsaw who provides some amount of karmic retribution for the Josh Hader trade. His powerful lower half and flexibility drive the production of this velocity, while McGarrys long arm action makes it tough for him to have a consistent release. He projects to be similar to J.P. Crawford in skill and statistical output, a player good for 2 WAR annually. On last look, it was stuff that profiled in the middle of a contending teams rotation, rather than at the very front. In 2021, Olson spent time at both High- and Double-A, and ended the season with a combined strikeout rate of 26%, while walking 11.6%. 1 in the Baseball America Top 25.. Hes only ever played shortstop in affiliated ball but saw time at third base in LIDOM, where he understandably looked uncomfortable at times. This years 60 FV tier has some players who still show some hit tool red flags (Chourio, De La Cruz, Jones) that kept them from ever really being considered for the tier above. Bibee now looks like a polished mid-rotation prospect. He primarily pairs the heater with a shapely low-80s slider and gets most of his swing-and-miss in the zone with both offerings. This level of athleticism might be an indication that Rodriguez will find a way to mature into more raw power despite not having a traditionally projectable frame. 30Coastal CarolinaSun Belt2SC1-10201733 Teams not listed above are: 31. Previous ranking: No. Add to that performance his track record as a clubhouse favorite with natural leadership abilities and his multi-positional utility, and Lewis is primed for an everyday role as soon as his health allows. Minor injuries kept Whisenhunt from carrying as heavy a load as he otherwise would have at ECU last season, but he still put up good numbers, including a 3.77 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 62 innings. He can vary his breaking ball shape and will occasionally show you 88-91 mph with cut, at other times 77-83 mph with sweep. The tailing shape on his heater is suboptimal but at times helps him miss a bat. Back in Port St. Lucie to start 2022, Ramirez was red hot for the first month of the season, slashing a whopping .385/.423/.606 while cutting his strikeout rate by about 42% (from 31% to 18%), though his walk rate also dipped. The junior third baseman slashed .529/.526/1.235 with three bombs, driving in 13. His forearms have grown like the Grinchs heart, and Carroll can now bang wall-threatening contact to all fields with the flick of his wrists. This years crop of prospects has a relatively shallow high-impact group at the very top of the list. Casas has plus-plus power and enough bat-to-ball skill to weaponize it. leap into the top-10 overall prospect mix within the next year. Hes going to get to whatever raw power he ends up growing into and has a good shot to be a middle infield regular, though probably not until 2026 or so just based on his 40-man timeline.There are mixed feelings about his defensive fit, with most of Erics sources projecting him to second base (a mix of scouts and analysts), which is where he had him coming out of high school. The loss of reps might accelerate a move down the defensive spectrum (the Giants have publicly refuted this) so Luciano can just focus on hitting his way to San Francisco. Hes as patient as any hitter in the minors and has walked at a 19% career rate; he has a .437 career OBP in the minors. Hes a well-rounded star and franchise cornerstone. 18TCUBig 123TX4-81047 It was enough for the Yankees to roster him for their postseason series against Houston, who worked Peraza with sink and breaking balls in the bottom of the zone, which he consistently swung over the top of. Were projecting heavily on Abels command in anticipation of him growing into his body and arm speed. PCA is one of the best defensive center fielders in the sport and a swing change unlocked dormant power in 2022. Allens fastball has other traits that help it punch above its weight, and he commands it with machine-like regularity to the locations in which it is most effective. To see all the great stories in this issue, CLICK HERE. Julien tweeted he was going back to school, then went to the Cape and had a great two weeks, after which the Twins offer rose to just shy of $500,000, inspiring him to sign. Things arent so bad that hes in a red flag bust risk area because of his hit tool, but its enough that it will probably dial down how much in-game power hes actually getting to. Fairfield; 42. He covers the inner two-thirds of the zone quite well (his in-zone contact rates are actually about as good as Miguel Vargas), but his desire to pull and lift everything leaves him vulnerable on the outer edge and often impacts the quality of his contact. Teams 1-5Teams 6-10Teams 11-20Teams 21-30Teams 31-40Teams 41-50Teams 51-60Teams 61-70Teams 71-80Teams 81-90Teams 91-100, D1Baseball Top 100 Programs: 2022 After missing nearly all of the shortened 2020 season, Lee broke out in 2021, hitting .342/.384/.626 with 27 doubles, 10 home runs and 57 RBIs for his father and coach Larry at Cal Poly. Hes now a career .303/.394/.533 hitter and has had meaningful statistical success up through Double-A, where he spent about a month toward the end of 2022. He is sure-handed and slick, twitchy and acrobatic, wielding plus range, hands, actions and arm strength. 2022 D1Baseball Preseason Top 25 Rankings Top 25 D1 Baseball Staff - January 18, 2022 Texas is No. Parada was the rare high-profile California high schooler who left the state for college, traveling all the way to Atlanta for two years at Georgia Tech. Southern Miss; 49. Add to that his plus-plus defense at an up-the-middle position, and hes on track for star-level everyday center field role. Knee and hamstring surgery effectively knocked him out for the 2020 season, then Lee hit .341/.384/.626 in 2021 and had a huge summer on Cape Cod, with six homers in just 21 games. On its own, the heater hasnt been much of a bat-misser, but it plays up thanks to two excellent secondaries a changeup and a slider both of which are plus or better, and both of which garnered whiff rates over 50% and chase rates over 40% in 2022. His fastball velocity is down, in the 92-94 mph range, a far cry from Priesters upper-90s peak. While especially adept at launching pitches on the inner third, Johnson also shows some ability to shorten up and cover the top and outer edge of the strike zone. He did show some swing-and-miss vulnerability at the top of the strike zone throughout 2022, but seemed to be remedying that toward the end of the season. Teams not listed above are: 31. Despite being this size at this age, which might typically cause long-term 1B/DH projection, Colliers defensive feet, hands, actions, and arm strength are all excellent, and make him a future plus third base defender. He hit .337/.453/.601 as a teenager in the Cal League before the Padres traded him to Washington as part of the Juan Soto blockbuster, after which he hit .293/.366/.463. If you dropped him into the 2022 draft class (with high schoolers Bleis age), hes going in the top five picks. Here's the full schedule and how to watch. Plus, a Dodgers source indicated to FanGraphs that theyll continue to play Busch at second base despite his issues in the hopes he can develop there. Morales was one of three Miami hitters to go deep three times, as he drove in nine and produced a 1.379 OPS. At age 18, Domnguez spent most of his first pro season at Low-A, where he was only ok. Rust and the automated ball/strike system likely had an impact on his peripherals (31% K%, 10% BB%) in year one, but the Yankees felt they needed to send him back to the level to start 2022. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. RPI (Live) Records include games against Division I opponents only. Over the last two weeks, we have counted down the top 100 programs in college baseball, as they stand in 2022. The Tigers did their homework and signed him for an over-slot bonus in the fifth round, where many teams had written him off as unsignable. Top 25 (Feb. 27) Louisiana State remains No. Power on par with Salvy seems in play here, too. 76StetsonA-Sun2FL6-1957NR He also throws a changeup and a slider, both of which show promise, though neither was featured much in his 2022 mix. Just seven games into his 2021 minor league season, Carroll sustained a posterior capsular avulsion fracture and a labrum tear during a swing on which he homered. The Padres pitching development track record isnt great and perhaps theyre not the team best suited to coax a great breaking ball out of Lesko, but as long as his stuff is the same coming off of TJ, hes already in position to project as a 50. With the college baseball season set to begin on Feb. 19, Athlon Sports is taking a look at the top 25 teams in the NCAA. Its possible hell be so good upon return that he kicks down the door, but its more likely from a roster timeline standpoint that Miami gives him all of 2023 in the minors so his innings can be manicured with his health and development in mind. If the Giants are contending for a playoff spot, he may be called up during the 2023 season, perhaps first in a bullpen capacity, but he projects as an eventual impact starter. Hes now on the doorstep of the big leagues as a three-pitch power reliever. INF Peyton Chatagnier A sparkplug from the Rebels 2022 championship, Chatagnier continues to create a legacy in Oxford. The compact nature of Carrolls body and swing gives him a little extra time and distance to diagnose pitches, and his strength makes him a threat to do damage on the ones that he lets travel deep into the hitting zone. He has very little experience at second and looked okay making routine plays there during the few reps he got in 2022, but its tough to project him there full-time based on how his range, hands, and actions look at third. Jobe was the consensus top high school arm in the 2021 draft and earned a bonus of nearly $7 million as the third overall pick. The Rays gave him a $2.3 million bonus to keep him from heading to Cal and have developed him solely at short. Lesko is arguably the most polished and complete high school pitching prospect to come along in a decade. Holliday is a sweet-swinging shortstop with above-average feel for contact and burgeoning power. He was hurt in 2022. Hes similar to DJ LeMahieu and Vinnie Pasquantino from a skill set standpoint and should provide a long-term answer at first base for the Rays within the next couple of years. Look under the hood and there is cause for concern. Weve concluded he does. His arm angle makes it naturally tough on lefties but its utility is limited against righties, which is likely what caused Cleveland and Allen to work on a cutter that is still in the nascent stages of development. Hes okay at second and third base, but the Blue Jays infield is already pretty loaded, so hes likely to see time in the outfield this year. But the best parts of Libbys game are offset by the fact that they dont fit with the rest of his profile, which puts a mild damper on it. His approach is solid, though there are some issues chasing breaking balls, and his in-zone swing-and-miss was a fair bit below average in 2022 (he swings inside a lot of sliders), but were talking about a 20-year-old at Double-A here. A very skilled hitter with a career .313/.390/.488 line in the minors, Vargas made his big league debut in 2022 and is poised to play a more prominent role for the Dodgers this season after their many free agent departures, though probably not at third base. While most players on this list have experience at the college level, we also included some newcomers, with the expectation that those players will be among the favorites to win freshman of the year honors. His Trackman data makes clear why his offense is so worthy of this line of development. Hell be just one of a whole host of All-American candidates in the LSU lineup. Texas, coming off a season that saw it win the Big 12 title and reach the bracket finals of the College World Series, opens the 2022 season ranked No. He has special hand-eye coordination and bat-to-ball skill, as well as a tremendous idea of the strike zone. The Orioles selected Ortiz in the fourth round based largely on his defensive prowess, and he has lived up to those expectations while exceeding them on the offensive side. Flores velocity tapered off some in 2022 but he threw more strikes than expected, enough to now project as a starter. Fold below-average third base defense into that picture and while Vargas is going to be a doubles machine and productive big league player, he is probably not a star. He has had the most impressive BP session at each of the last two Futures Games, launching satellite-threatening baseballs to the very outer reaches of big league stadiums. There are some players who are as aggressive as Mauricio (or more so) who find a way to be impact players anyway and almost all of them tend to make enough in-zone contact to buoy their overall offensive output. In mid-August, the Orioles moved Hall to the bullpen, and after just four relief appearances over a span of 12 days, he was promoted to Baltimore for a 13-inning cup of coffee. 32South CarolinaSEC10SC3-1418119 As a fourth-year junior in 2021, he was still sitting 88-92 mph, with his fastball velocity sometimes drifting as low as 86 mph in a given start. 17. 3 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 5-2, 0-0 in Pac-12 (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: California: L 8-4 Feb. 24-25: Rice: W 6-3, W 11-1, W 7-4 Upcoming Feb. 28: Pacific March 3-5: Cal State Bakersfield Stanford bounced back from a midweek loss to archrival Cal to sweep Rice on the weekend. INF Jonathan Vastine Vanderbilt is counting on the sophomore Vastine this spring and he didnt disappoint last week. Wiemer is a power/speed freak who might bust or be a power-hitting anomaly. Whitaker went for both length and quality against Wagner, lasting seven innings and not allowing a run, striking out three. Buschs swing is simple but still athletic and explosive. For a further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, please read this and this. The closest contemporary statistical predecessors and tool-based comps to make for De La Cruz are Willy Adames (a 29% K% hitter who has performed like a 60 because he gets to his power and plays great defense) and Fernando Tatis Jr. (27.6% K%). He produced a 150 wRC+ when healthy and was making among the highest rates of hard, airborne contact in the minors when he got hurt. And arm speed he didnt disappoint last week against Bucknell, going innings... Counting on the doorstep of the big leagues as a tremendous idea of the leagues... Bat-Only prospect with a shapely low-80s slider and gets most of his action... Vary his breaking ball shape and will occasionally show you 88-91 mph with cut, at other 77-83! Command in anticipation of him growing into his body and arm speed All-American righthander/outfielder McLean... 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